Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.041231 0.047964 0.055449 0.064384 0.074765 0.086448 0.100601
2025-11-23 0.030478 0.039208 0.049918 0.064028 0.082142 0.104638 0.134742
2025-11-30 0.024793 0.034438 0.047196 0.065315 0.090421 0.124036 0.172576
2025-12-07 0.020382 0.030149 0.043889 0.064645 0.095261 0.138862 0.205885
2025-12-14 0.016893 0.026379 0.040452 0.062871 0.097775 0.150200 0.235257
2025-12-21 0.014220 0.023303 0.037429 0.061025 0.099570 0.160277 0.263628
2025-12-28 0.012736 0.021807 0.036539 0.062230 0.106081 0.178195 0.306482
2026-01-04 0.011350 0.020239 0.035259 0.062521 0.110975 0.193907 0.347556
2026-01-11 0.010167 0.018830 0.034020 0.062638 0.115462 0.209313 0.389920
2026-01-18 0.009280 0.017811 0.033304 0.063532 0.121356 0.227766 0.440009
2026-01-25 0.008621 0.017114 0.033059 0.065223 0.128866 0.249959 0.499840
2026-02-01 0.007597 0.015574 0.031026 0.063198 0.128936 0.258039 0.533193
2026-02-08 0.006889 0.014583 0.029961 0.063006 0.132727 0.274054 0.585140
2026-02-15 0.006225 0.013593 0.028774 0.062413 0.135632 0.288677 0.636285
2026-02-22 0.005807 0.013065 0.028468 0.063619 0.142463 0.312224 0.709640
2026-03-01 0.005277 0.012219 0.027374 0.062957 0.145109 0.327110 0.765778
2026-03-08 0.004726 0.011254 0.025894 0.061228 0.145111 0.336133 0.809677
2026-03-15 0.004236 0.010362 0.024468 0.059430 0.144702 0.344129 0.852168
2026-03-22 0.003997 0.010037 0.024307 0.060603 0.151494 0.369660 0.940418
2026-03-29 0.003724 0.009592 0.023808 0.060886 0.156141 0.390624 1.020122
2026-04-05 0.003467 0.009155 0.023270 0.061000 0.160372 0.411074 1.101258
2026-04-12 0.003274 0.008855 0.023039 0.061871 0.166661 0.437449 1.201482
2026-04-19 0.003134 0.008679 0.023100 0.063517 0.175207 0.470677 1.324636